Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.5pts: 24¢ at window start → 24¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 24¢ (band 24¢–27¢)
  band from 167 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 2.7× this market's 7-day norm, $11.0k in 24h
• BOOK Book 2.2:1 bid, $28.7k/$13.2k within 10¢

Book 2.2:1 bid, $28.7k/$13.2k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 20 Aug 2026, 08:28 UTC: Band breach (lower): 24¢ → 24¢ (-0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.17× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 1 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 24¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 24¢, held +0.5ptspts
• Peak move: +0.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 24¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots