Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 73¢ at window start → 73¢ at close
• BOOK Book 2.2:1 ask, $82.3k/$179.7k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.4× this market's 7-day norm, $166.0k in 24h

Book 2.2:1 ask, $82.3k/$179.7k within 10¢ · spread 3.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 20 Aug 2026, 06:12 UTC: Band breach (upper): 73¢ → 74¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.25× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 3 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 74¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 74¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 73¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots