South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -2.0pts: 85¢ at window start → 83¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.4:1 ask, $75.6k/$107.2k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $1.6k, 1.3× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 3,227 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $108.1k in 24h

Book 1.4:1 ask, $75.6k/$107.2k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 19 Aug 2026, 03:55 UTC: Sustained reprice: 85¢ → 82¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.23× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 52 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 82¢, drift -0.5pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 83¢, held +2.0ptspts
• Peak move: +3.0pts
• Held 67% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 83¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots