Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.6pts: 67¢ at window start → 68¢ at close
• BOOK Book 2.2:1 ask, $4.8k/$10.5k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $98, 1.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,411 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 0.5× this market's 7-day norm, $3.7k in 24h

Book 2.2:1 ask, $4.8k/$10.5k within 10¢ · spread 1.7¢

Triggers (1)

• 19 Aug 2026, 22:39 UTC: Band breach (lower): 67¢ → 66¢ (-1.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.48× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 16 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 66¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 66¢, held +1.5ptspts
• Peak move: +1.5pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 68¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots