Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.1pts: 99¢ at window start → 100¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 99¢ (band 96¢–99¢)
  band from 169 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 11.6× this market's 7-day norm, $4.1M in 24h
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $299.7k, 51.6× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 4,772 trades / 7d

depth $0/$0 within 10¢ · spread 100.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 18 Aug 2026, 23:05 UTC: Band breach (upper): 99¢ → 99¢ (+0.6pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.18× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 218 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 100¢, drift +0.3pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 100¢, held +1.1ptspts
• Peak move: +1.1pts
• Held 96% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 100¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots