Wisconsin Governor winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +2.0pts: 73¢ at window start → 75¢ at close
• VOLUME 4.6× this market's 7-day norm, $21.7k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.5:1 ask, $17.6k/$27.3k within 10¢

Book 1.5:1 ask, $17.6k/$27.3k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 17 Aug 2026, 02:07 UTC: Sustained reprice: 73¢ → 76¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.08× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 7 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 76¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 76¢, held +3.0ptspts
• Peak move: +3.0pts
• Held 67% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 75¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots