Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.2pts: 93¢ at window start → 93¢ at close
• VOLUME 1.8× this market's 7-day norm, $20.8k in 24h
• BOOK Book 69.6:1 ask, $4.8k/$330.6k within 10¢

Book 69.6:1 ask, $4.8k/$330.6k within 10¢ · spread 0.2¢

Triggers (1)

• 17 Aug 2026, 23:53 UTC: Band breach (lower): 93¢ → 93¢ (-0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.09× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 2 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 93¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 93¢, held +0.2ptspts
• Peak move: +0.6pts
• Held 45% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 93¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots