Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.5pts: 68¢ at window start → 69¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 69¢ (band 64¢–69¢)
  band from 162 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 2.3× this market's 7-day norm, $15.0k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.7:1 ask, $2.5k/$9.4k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $228, 3.4× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,843 trades / 7d

Book 3.7:1 ask, $2.5k/$9.4k within 10¢ · spread 2.2¢

Triggers (1)

• 16 Aug 2026, 05:06 UTC: Band breach (upper): 68¢ → 69¢ (+0.9pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.21× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 11 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 69¢, drift -0.7pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 69¢, held +0.3ptspts
• Peak move: +0.9pts
• Held 47% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 69¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots