Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -5.4pts: 100¢ at window start → 94¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 96¢ (band 96¢–99¢)
  band from 168 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 10.7:1 ask, $31.6k/$337.8k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $10.3k in 24h

Book 10.7:1 ask, $31.6k/$337.8k within 10¢ · spread 0.2¢

Triggers (1)

• 15 Aug 2026, 08:58 UTC: Sustained reprice: 100¢ → 94¢ (-5.4pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 1.82× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 0 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 94¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 94¢, held +5.5ptspts
• Peak move: +5.5pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 94¢
• Graded from 179 snapshots