Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.7pts: 68¢ at window start → 69¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 68¢ (band 64¢–68¢)
  band from 163 hourly obs / 7.0d
• BOOK Book 1.6:1 ask, $4.4k/$7.0k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $128, 1.9× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,498 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 0.8× this market's 7-day norm, $5.1k in 24h

Book 1.6:1 ask, $4.4k/$7.0k within 10¢ · spread 0.1¢

Triggers (1)

• 15 Aug 2026, 10:32 UTC: Band breach (upper): 68¢ → 69¢ (+0.9pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.22× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 11 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 69¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 69¢, held +1.1ptspts
• Peak move: +1.2pts
• Held 58% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 69¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots