Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +5.8pts: 63¢ at window start → 69¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 68¢ (band 64¢–68¢)
  band from 162 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 1.9× this market's 7-day norm, $11.6k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.3:1 ask, $1.8k/$5.8k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $81, 1.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,731 trades / 7d

Book 3.3:1 ask, $1.8k/$5.8k within 10¢ · spread 0.5¢

Triggers (2)

• 15 Aug 2026, 15:02 UTC: Sustained reprice: 63¢ → 67¢ (+4.1pts), confirmed over 30s
• 15 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC: Band breach (upper): 67¢ → 69¢ (+1.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.98× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 136 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 67¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 69¢, held +5.5ptspts
• Peak move: +5.8pts
• Held 98% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: yes
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 69¢
• Graded from 179 snapshots