Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.3pts: 68¢ at window start → 69¢ at close
• VOLUME 1.9× this market's 7-day norm, $11.6k in 24h
• BOOK Book 2.5:1 ask, $2.5k/$6.2k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $194, 2.9× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,819 trades / 7d

Book 2.5:1 ask, $2.5k/$6.2k within 10¢ · spread 2.5¢

Triggers (1)

• 15 Aug 2026, 18:29 UTC: Band breach (upper): 68¢ → 69¢ (+0.7pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.18× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 16 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 69¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 69¢, held +0.6ptspts
• Peak move: +0.8pts
• Held 47% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 69¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots