Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.6pts: 67¢ at window start → 68¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.1:1 ask, $4.5k/$5.1k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.9× this market's 7-day norm, $6.1k in 24h

Book 1.1:1 ask, $4.5k/$5.1k within 10¢ · spread 0.5¢

Triggers (1)

• 14 Aug 2026, 20:49 UTC: Band breach (upper): 67¢ → 68¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.28× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 9 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 68¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 68¢, held +1.2ptspts
• Peak move: +1.4pts
• Held 44% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 68¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots