Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.8pts: 66¢ at window start → 67¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 67¢ (band 64¢–67¢)
  band from 166 hourly obs / 6.9d
• BOOK Book 1.2:1 bid, $5.7k/$4.7k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $6.0k in 24h

Book 1.2:1 bid, $5.7k/$4.7k within 10¢ · spread 0.7¢

Triggers (1)

• 13 Aug 2026, 10:39 UTC: Band breach (upper): 66¢ → 67¢ (+0.6pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.2× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 33 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 67¢, drift +0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 67¢, held +1.2ptspts
• Peak move: +1.2pts
• Held 67% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 67¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots