Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -0.3pts: 66¢ at window start → 66¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.3:1 bid, $5.4k/$4.1k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.1× this market's 7-day norm, $6.8k in 24h

Book 1.3:1 bid, $5.4k/$4.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.5¢

Triggers (1)

• 13 Aug 2026, 15:11 UTC: Band breach (upper): 66¢ → 67¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.18× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 32 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 67¢, drift +0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 66¢, held -0.1ptspts
• Peak move: +0.8pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 66¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots