Best AI at the end of 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.1pts: 66¢ at window start → 67¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 67¢ (band 64¢–67¢)
  band from 165 hourly obs / 6.9d
• BOOK Book 1.4:1 bid, $4.5k/$3.2k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $315, 4.6× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,179 trades / 7d
• VOLUME 1.1× this market's 7-day norm, $7.1k in 24h

Book 1.4:1 bid, $4.5k/$3.2k within 10¢ · spread 0.1¢

Triggers (1)

• 13 Aug 2026, 17:33 UTC: Band breach (upper): 66¢ → 67¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.18× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 23 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 67¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 67¢, held +0.1ptspts
• Peak move: +0.8pts
• Held 13% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 67¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots