South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 44¢ at window start → 44¢ at close
• VOLUME 2.1× this market's 7-day norm, $83.9k in 24h
• BOOK Book 6.7:1 ask, $6.4k/$43.1k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $880, 1.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,457 trades / 7d

Book 6.7:1 ask, $6.4k/$43.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 11 Aug 2026, 05:40 UTC: Band breach (lower): 44¢ → 43¢ (-1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.05× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 91 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 43¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 43¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +2.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 44¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots