South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +11.0pts: 43¢ at window start → 54¢ at close
• VOLUME 2.8× this market's 7-day norm, $130.0k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.3:1 bid, $27.0k/$20.6k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $3.0k, 5.2× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,950 trades / 7d

Book 1.3:1 bid, $27.0k/$20.6k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (3)

• 11 Aug 2026, 15:21 UTC: Sustained reprice: 43¢ → 46¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 30s
• 11 Aug 2026, 16:11 UTC: Sustained reprice: 46¢ → 51¢ (+5.0pts), confirmed over 30s
• 11 Aug 2026, 16:45 UTC: Sustained reprice: 51¢ → 54¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.16× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 144 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 46¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 47¢, held +4.0ptspts
• Peak move: +11.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 54¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots