Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -2.0pts: 60¢ at window start → 57¢ at close
• VOLUME 2.3× this market's 7-day norm, $537.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.2:1 ask, $158.6k/$193.3k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $2.2k, 2.4× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 2,129 trades / 7d

Book 1.2:1 ask, $158.6k/$193.3k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 10 Aug 2026, 16:10 UTC: Sustained reprice: 60¢ → 56¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.15× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 54 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 56¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 57¢, held +2.0ptspts
• Peak move: +3.0pts
• Held 67% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 57¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots