Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -4.0pts: 62¢ at window start → 57¢ at close
• VOLUME 4.3× this market's 7-day norm, $174.0k in 24h
• BOOK Book 5.3:1 ask, $48.6k/$258.4k within 10¢

Book 5.3:1 ask, $48.6k/$258.4k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 10 Aug 2026, 16:14 UTC: Sustained reprice: 62¢ → 59¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.19× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 50 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 59¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 59¢, held +3.0ptspts
• Peak move: +4.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 57¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots