Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.0pts: 65¢ at window start → 66¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.5:1 ask, $265.0k/$398.3k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.9× this market's 7-day norm, $32.6k in 24h

Book 1.5:1 ask, $265.0k/$398.3k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 10 Aug 2026, 00:46 UTC: Band breach (upper): 65¢ → 66¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.07× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 16 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 66¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 66¢, held +1.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 66¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots