Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 73¢ at window start → 73¢ at close
• VOLUME 1.5× this market's 7-day norm, $15.1k in 24h
• BOOK Book 3.6:1 bid, $24.5k/$6.7k within 10¢

Book 3.6:1 bid, $24.5k/$6.7k within 10¢ · spread 2.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 09 Aug 2026, 16:07 UTC: Band breach (upper): 73¢ → 74¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.06× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 2 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 74¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 74¢, held +0.5ptspts
• Peak move: +0.5pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 73¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots