US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -6.0pts: 67¢ at window start → 61¢ at close
• VOLUME 2.1× this market's 7-day norm, $67.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 4.2:1 ask, $2.3k/$9.7k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $462, 4.7× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 845 trades / 7d

Book 4.2:1 ask, $2.3k/$9.7k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (2)

• 08 Aug 2026, 22:07 UTC: Sustained reprice: 67¢ → 64¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s
• 08 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC: Sustained reprice: 64¢ → 61¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.17× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 20 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 64¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 65¢, held +2.0ptspts
• Peak move: +6.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
• Gave back half within 60m: no data
• Price at close: 61¢
• Graded from 180 snapshots