Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -5.0pts: 64¢ at window start → 59¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 70¢ (band 70¢–85¢)
  band from 163 hourly obs / 6.9d
• BOOK Book 15.8:1 ask, $2.4k/$37.8k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.0× this market's 7-day norm, $21.6k in 24h

Book 15.8:1 ask, $2.4k/$37.8k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 08 Aug 2026, 18:55 UTC: Sustained reprice: 64¢ → 59¢ (-5.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.34× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 10 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 59¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 59¢, held +5.0ptspts
• Peak move: +5.0pts
• Held 100% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 59¢
• Graded from 178 snapshots