Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -4.5pts: 47¢ at window start → 42¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 49¢ (band 49¢–64¢)
  band from 163 hourly obs / 6.9d
• BOOK Book 1.5:1 ask, $6.1k/$9.1k within 10¢
• VOLUME 1.2× this market's 7-day norm, $23.1k in 24h

Book 1.5:1 ask, $6.1k/$9.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.2¢

Triggers (1)

• 07 Aug 2026, 17:43 UTC: Sustained reprice: 47¢ → 42¢ (-4.7pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.32× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 9 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 42¢, drift +0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 42¢, held +4.8ptspts
• Peak move: +5.3pts
• Held 86% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 42¢
• Graded from 179 snapshots