Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +11.1pts: 87¢ at window start → 98¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 96¢ (band 64¢–96¢)
  band from 167 hourly obs / 7.0d
• VOLUME 4.1× this market's 7-day norm, $138.0k in 24h
• BOOK Book 2.7:1 ask, $23.6k/$64.5k within 10¢
  depth from the 15:23 UTC snapshot (no close reading)
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $663, 1.4× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 3,271 trades / 7d

DEPTH PENDING · spread 0.9¢

Triggers (2)

• 07 Aug 2026, 14:18 UTC: Sustained reprice: 87¢ → 80¢ (-7.0pts), confirmed over 190s
• 07 Aug 2026, 15:06 UTC: Sustained reprice: 80¢ → 98¢ (+18.9pts), confirmed over 56s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.22× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 100 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 81¢, drift -1.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 99¢, held -12.3ptspts
• Peak move: +7.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 98¢
• Graded from 15 snapshots