Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +18.4pts: 80¢ at window start → 98¢ at close
• OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 96¢ (band 64¢–96¢)
  band from 164 hourly obs / 6.9d
• VOLUME 4.6× this market's 7-day norm, $152.3k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.0:1 ask, $29.0k/$30.4k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $990, 2.0× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 3,393 trades / 7d

Book 1.0:1 ask, $29.0k/$30.4k within 10¢ · spread 0.6¢

Triggers (1)

• 07 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC: Band breach (upper): 80¢ → 98¢ (+18.3pts), confirmed over 29s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.57× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 132 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 98¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 98¢, held +18.9ptspts
• Peak move: +19.0pts
• Held 97% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 98¢
• Graded from 177 snapshots