QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Window 06 Aug 2026, 13:09 UTC → 06 Aug 2026, 14:39 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 30 Sept 2026, 23:59 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 05 Aug 2026, 19:53 UTC

GOLD SURGED MORE THAN 4%, ONE OF ITS BIGGEST DAILY OUTPERFORMANCES VERSUS FAIR-VALUE MODELS IN THE PAST DECADE, EVEN THOUGH BASED ON ITS TRADITIONAL DRIVERS IT 'OUGHT' TO HAVE DECLINED SLIGHTLY, MARKING THE LARGEST SUCH DIVERGENCE SINCE THE TIME AROUND ITS BLOW-OFF TOP EARLIER THIS YEAR, ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG'S CAMERON CRISE.