OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Window 06 Aug 2026, 14:18 UTC → 06 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
Price at window start 67¢ → at trigger 68¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -1.0pts: 67¢ at window start → 66¢ now
DEPTH PENDING
Triggers (1)
- 06 Aug 2026, 14:18 UTC: Band breach (upper): 67¢ → 68¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 173s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.02× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time