QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Window 06 Aug 2026, 00:26 UTC → 06 Aug 2026, 01:56 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@financialjuice · 05 Aug 2026, 18:17 UTC

Yemen Houthi Spokesperson: Forces affirm that they are meticulously monitoring all movements of Saudi oil tankers and will not allow any ship to pass.