QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Window 06 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC → 06 Aug 2026, 10:30 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 05 Aug 2026, 16:52 UTC

YEMEN: ROUTES THAT WERE PREVIOUSLY CONSIDERED SAFE ARE NO LONGER SAFE, BASED ON THE DEVELOPMENTS ON THE GROUND BY THE YEMENI ARMED FORCES.