QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Window 05 Aug 2026, 10:22 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 11:52 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@Polymarket · 05 Aug 2026, 02:32 UTC

BREAKING: Trump-backed Mike Rogers wins Michigan’s Republican Senate primary & will face Abdul El-Sayed. https://t.co/rW7iBaRl8f