QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Window 05 Aug 2026, 07:21 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 08:51 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 04 Aug 2026, 06:07 UTC

Russia-Appointed Crimea Official Says Incident Left One Serviceman and Three Civilians Dead