REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Window 05 Aug 2026, 07:58 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC
Price at window start 73¢ → at trigger 76¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -3.5pts: 73¢ at window start → 69¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 61¢ (band 15¢–61¢)
band from 163 hourly obs / 7.0d
- VOLUME 3.3× this market's 7-day norm, $168.1k in 24h
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $1.9k, 4.8× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 3,466 trades / 7d
DEPTH PENDING
Triggers (3)
- 05 Aug 2026, 07:58 UTC: Sustained reprice: 73¢ → 76¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 31s
- 05 Aug 2026, 08:24 UTC: Sustained reprice: 76¢ → 73¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 58s
- 05 Aug 2026, 08:59 UTC: Sustained reprice: 73¢ → 68¢ (-4.5pts), confirmed over 263s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.07× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time