REPRICED WINDOW OPEN: LIVE Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Window 05 Aug 2026, 13:44 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 15:14 UTC

Price at window start 63¢ → at trigger 69¢

YES up · NO down

Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Live payload

REPRICED Repriced +8.5pts: 63¢ at window start → 72¢ now
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 61¢ (band 15¢–61¢)
band from 163 hourly obs / 7.0d
VOLUME 3.2× this market's 7-day norm, $161.0k in 24h

DEPTH PENDING

05 Aug 2026, 13:44 UTC: Sustained reprice: 63¢ → 69¢ (+6.0pts), confirmed over 115s
05 Aug 2026, 14:14 UTC: Sustained reprice: 69¢ → 73¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 102s