QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Window 05 Aug 2026, 05:38 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 07:08 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 30 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@Polymarket · 05 Aug 2026, 03:53 UTC

66% chance of a Hormuz agreement by the 15th. https://t.co/EpOumQSczB