Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 64¢ at window start → 64¢ at close
• VOLUME 8.2× this market's 7-day norm, $128.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.4:1 bid, $487.8k/$338.5k within 10¢
• UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $314, 1.1× this market's typical big trade
  size baseline: 95th pct of 1,431 trades / 7d

Book 1.4:1 bid, $487.8k/$338.5k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 05 Aug 2026, 03:20 UTC: Band breach (upper): 64¢ → 65¢ (+1.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 33 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 65¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 64¢, held +0.0ptspts
• Peak move: +1.0pts
• Held 0% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 64¢
• Graded from 64 snapshots