QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 05 Aug 2026, 00:29 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 01:59 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 04 Aug 2026, 21:21 UTC

BOOKING HOLDINGS CEO SAYS THE MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT AND RELATED MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS CONTINUE TO AFFECT TRAVEL DEMAND, WITH LONG-HAUL INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL PRESSURED BY ELEVATED AIRLINE PRICES AND REDUCED CAPACITY, THOUGH DOMESTIC AND INTRA-REGIONAL TRAVEL REMAINED RELATIVELY HEALTHY AND US ROOM NIGHTS GREW IN THE HIGH SINGLE DIGITS - CONF CALL