QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Window 05 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 05 Aug 2026, 17:29 UTC

U.S. CENTRAL COMMAND SAYS THAT AS OF AUG. 5, CENTCOM FORCES HAVE REDIRECTED 48 COMMERCIAL VESSELS, DISABLED 2 AND BOARDED 2, AS THE U.S. CONTINUES ENFORCEMENT OF THE BLOCKADE AGAINST IRAN, WITH A U.S. AIR FORCE F-16 FIGHTER JET REFUELED DURING A PATROL OVER REGIONAL WATERS IN THE MIDDLE EAST