QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Window 04 Aug 2026, 16:27 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 17:57 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@Polymarket · 04 Aug 2026, 15:01 UTC

BREAKING: U.S. has used “virtually all” of its long-range precision missiles during the Iran operation. — Reuters