QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Window 04 Aug 2026, 20:43 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 22:13 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 28 Oct 2026, 23:59 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@nicktimiraos · 04 Aug 2026, 16:14 UTC

To change the program parameters, such as the per-counterparty borrowing limit, Warsh would need to seek approval of the foreign exchange subcommittee of the FOMC, which includes Warsh, John Williams, and Phil Jefferson. In practice, that subcommittee has always made decisions with the support of the broader FOMC.