REPRICED FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Window 04 Aug 2026, 02:55 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 04:25 UTC

Price at window start 60¢ → at trigger 63¢ → at close 64¢

YES up · NO down

Resolves 11 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Frozen payload

REPRICED Repriced +3.8pts: 60¢ at window start → 64¢ at close
BOOK Book 2.4:1 ask, $6.8k/$16.4k within 10¢
UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $603, 1.9× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 1,382 trades / 7d
VOLUME 0.7× this market's 7-day norm, $12.4k in 24h

Book 2.4:1 ask, $6.8k/$16.4k within 10¢ · spread 0.4¢

Triggers (1)

04 Aug 2026, 02:55 UTC: Sustained reprice: 60¢ → 63¢ (+3.2pts), confirmed over 61s

Context

Opening move ≈ 0.2× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
11 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

+2m after alert: 63¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
+30m: 64¢, held +3.9ptspts
Peak move: +3.9pts
Held 99% of the peak move at close
Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
Gave back half within 60m: no
Price at close: 64¢
Graded from 63 snapshots