REPRICED WINDOW OPEN: LIVE Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Window 04 Aug 2026, 19:30 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC

Price at window start 63¢ → at trigger 67¢

YES up · NO down

Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Live payload

REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 63¢ at window start → 63¢ now
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 47¢ (band 15¢–47¢)
band from 164 hourly obs / 7.0d
VOLUME 2.5× this market's 7-day norm, $124.1k in 24h
BOOK Book 2.2:1 bid, $7.5k/$3.4k within 10¢

04 Aug 2026, 19:30 UTC: Sustained reprice: 63¢ → 67¢ (+4.0pts), confirmed over 89s
04 Aug 2026, 20:13 UTC: Sustained reprice: 67¢ → 63¢ (-3.5pts), confirmed over 190s