REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Window 04 Aug 2026, 13:25 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 14:55 UTC
Price at window start 56¢ → at trigger 65¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced +11.5pts: 56¢ at window start → 68¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 46¢ (band 15¢–46¢)
band from 164 hourly obs / 7.0d
- VOLUME 2.3× this market's 7-day norm, $115.4k in 24h
DEPTH PENDING
Triggers (5)
- 04 Aug 2026, 13:25 UTC: Sustained reprice: 56¢ → 65¢ (+9.0pts), confirmed over 93s
- 04 Aug 2026, 13:28 UTC: Sustained reprice: 65¢ → 70¢ (+5.0pts), confirmed over 30s
- 04 Aug 2026, 13:35 UTC: Sustained reprice: 70¢ → 62¢ (-8.0pts), confirmed over 31s
- 04 Aug 2026, 13:47 UTC: Sustained reprice: 62¢ → 66¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 30s
- 04 Aug 2026, 13:52 UTC: Sustained reprice: 66¢ → 69¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.29× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time