QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Window 04 Aug 2026, 23:22 UTC → 05 Aug 2026, 00:52 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@zerohedge · 04 Aug 2026, 17:19 UTC

From Charlie McElligott: "Absolute scenes….so a few quick and eye-watering visuals I wanted to share on some of this “Fuel” for the ATH’s explosion... Bunches of real (Options) and synthetic (LevETF “buy to rebal” currently tracking as 6th $largest ever) -Negative Gamma out there (and a market “forced” to front-run it without enough “Net” on), with Skew absolutely defenestrated on the breakout in Spot, as “Iran Ceasefire v33(?)” and reopening of the Strait turn “chalk” (also stifling Rate Vol undertandable, as Crude reprices sharply lower in a moderately “Dovish” impulse)… And suddenly, Equities “Buyers are Higher”