OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Window 04 Aug 2026, 04:08 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 05:38 UTC
Price at window start 31¢ → at trigger 30¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 03 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -2.0pts: 31¢ at window start → 28¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 30¢ (band 30¢–36¢)
band from 167 hourly obs / 7.0d
- VOLUME 3.3× this market's 7-day norm, $32.2k in 24h
DEPTH PENDING
Triggers (1)
- 04 Aug 2026, 04:08 UTC: Band breach (lower): 31¢ → 30¢ (-0.5pts), confirmed over 101s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.1× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time