QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 04 Aug 2026, 05:09 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 06:39 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 03 Aug 2026, 19:01 UTC

ADVISOR TO IRAN'S SUPREME LEADER REZAEI SAYS IRAN WILL NOT ALLOW A ROUTE OTHER THAN IRAN'S ROUTE TO BE OPENED IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ - IRIB