QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 03 Aug 2026, 18:53 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 20:23 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 03 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC

Interfax: Russia targets three Black Sea vessels transporting military cargo.