Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 02 Aug 2026, 15:25 UTC

Russian Defense: We targeted infrastructure and two military cargo ships at the Ukrainian port of Mykolaiv