QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Window 03 Aug 2026, 17:28 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 18:58 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 03 Aug 2026, 06:17 UTC

Russia steps up ship protection measures in Azov-Black Sea basin following drone attacks, transport ministry says.